Players/Aston Villa/Forward

Nicolas Jackson

N.JacksonFWDAston Villa25 years oldat the club since 2026

Available

Next: Brentford at home, Sat 10 Oct, 15:003

2026/27 season. Owned by 1.5% of managers (165,201). Transfers this gameweek: +29838.

Top 10k: 0.0% · Top 100k: 0.3% GW5 estimates

Compare

Price: £6.5m; unchanged this season
Points: 10; 2.5 per game
Form: 2.7; points per game, last 30 days
Minutes: 286; 4 starts
xGI: 1.28; 0.40 per 90
Bonus: 1; 52 BPS
xMins next: 62; 84% to start, 73% for 60+
xPoints next: 2.7; FPL's official expected points, GW6

Availability

no news

Available

No news. Fit and available.

No availability changes recorded this season.

Profile against other forwards

per 90 minutes, this season

Points per 90
363.15
xGI per 90
330.40
xG per 90
210.21
xA per 90
980.19
Threat per 90
3623.9
Bonus per 90
400.31
Start rate
3380%

Percentile among 21 forwards with at least 225 minutes this season. 100 is the best.

2026/27 gameweek by gameweek

4 appearances, 10 points

Bars are points, the line is expected goal involvements.

GW	Opponent	Result	Min	Pts	G	Bonus	BPS	xG	xA	xGI	Price
1	FUL A	W 3-2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	6.5
2	ARS H	L 0-1	70	2	0	0	11	0.00	0.10	0.10	6.5
3	HUL A	D 0-0	84	2	0	0	10	0.24	0.44	0.68	6.5
4	NFO H	L 1-2	45	0	0	0	0	0.00	0.04	0.04	6.5
5	TOT A	W 3-2	87	6	1	1	31	0.44	0.02	0.46	6.5
Season			286	10	1	1	52	0.68	0.60	1.28

Where the points came from

10 points

Appearances58%+7
Goals33%+4
Bonus8%+1
Cards-2

The categories add up to FPL's total of 10.

Form, minutes and splits

Expected minutes, Gameweek 6Likely starter

xMins: 62; one fixture
Starts: 84%; 73 minutes when he does
Plays 60+: 73%; the xPoints threshold
Appears: 88%; fit, as far as FPL knows

GW1

GW2

GW3

GW4

GW5

N.Jackson started 4 of the last 5 gameweeks (87, 45, 84 minutes most recently). The chance of sixty minutes blends the site's own estimate (63%) with the xPoints model's (83%). Recent weeks count most; a solid bar is a start, a pale one is minutes from the bench.

Last 5 average

2.0

season 2.5, -0.5

Returns

25%

1 of 4 games with 5+

Hauls

0 with 10+

Blanks

75%

3 with 2 or fewer

Last five

FUL A

ARS H

HUL A

NFO H

TOT A

Fixture-adjusted form, last 5 gameweeksFaced strong opponents

Adjusted: 1.9; points per gameweek
Raw: 2.0; -0.1 adjusted against raw
Opponents: 1.11x; their defence, 1.00 is average

GW1FUL A · defence 13th0 ×0.91 0.0
GW2ARS H · defence 3rd2 ×1.36 2.0
GW3HUL A · defence 6th2 ×1.03 2.0
GW4NFO H · defence 9th0 ×1.23 -0.2
GW5TOT A · defence 12th6 ×1.00 6.0

About what it looks: the opponents were close to average. Points above the appearance points are scaled by the opponent's defence (expected goals conceded per game from the analytics table), shrunk toward the league average early in the season and capped between 0.6 and 1.5.

Starts

4 of 5

80% start rate

Minutes per start

0 full games

60+ minutes

60%

of team games

From the bench

1 unused

Home2 games

Points: 2
Per game: 1.0
xGI per game: 0.07

Away2 games

Points: 8
Per game: 4.0
xGI per game: 0.57

Rotation: regular

Expected against actual

On track

Stat	Actual	Expected	Difference
Goals	1	0.68	+0.32
Assists	0	0.60	-0.60
Goal involvements	1	1.28	-0.28

Expected numbers are FPL's own xG, xA and xGC, summed over the gameweeks played. A big positive difference tends to fall back; a big negative one tends to catch up.

xPoints record

frozen at each deadline, graded after

Next gameweek (GW6): 2.7 expected points, FPL's official expected points, GW6.

GW	Projected	Actual	Difference
1	2.1	0	-2.1
2	2.1	2	-0.1
3	1.0	2	+1.0
4	1.3	0	-1.3
5	1.0	6	+5.0

Average miss 1.85 points over 4 graded gameweeks, under-projected on average by 1.15. How the feed is graded.

Similar players

FWDDelapNFO
£5.6m9 pts0.40 xGICompare
FWDEvanilsonBOU
£6.0m18 pts0.29 xGICompare
FWDGonzaloFUL
£6.0m14 pts0.61 xGICompare
FWDHavertzARS
£7.6m19 pts0.42 xGICompare
FWDStrand LarsenCRY
£6.0m14 pts0.19 xGICompare

Nearest by per-90 profile and price among players in the same position with enough minutes. Not a recommendation, a comparison.

Previous seasons

Season	Pts	Per 90	Min	G	A	xGI	Bonus	Price
2025/26	0	0.00	0	0	0	0.0	0	6.5 to 6.5
2024/25	121	4.91	2220	10	6	13.6	17	7.5 to 7.7
2023/24	142	4.56	2801	14	6	21.1	12	7.0 to 7.0

Your team

Checking your squad.

Fixtures ahead

GW6
Brentford H
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 · defence 5th of 20
3
GW7
Newcastle A
Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 · defence 14th of 20
3
GW8
Man City H
Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 · defence 8th of 20
4
GW9
Fulham H
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 · defence 13th of 20
2
GW10
Man Utd A
Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 · defence 10th of 20
4
GW11
Sunderland H
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 · defence 16th of 20
3
GW12
Ipswich Town A
Sat 28 Nov, 17:30 · defence 18th of 20
2
GW13
Everton H
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 · defence 2nd of 20
3

Average difficulty over the next five: 3.2. 1 is easiest, 5 hardest, by FPL's rating. The rank is the opponent's attack or defence among the 20 clubs by expected goals this season, 1 being the strongest.

Value over replacement

points above the cheap option

Not worth the premium13th of 79 forwards by PAR

Per gameweek: 2.7; projected, next 5
Replacement: 3.3; best cheap forwards
PAR: -0.6; over the replacement
Per £m: -1.18; 0.5m above the floor

-0.0 against players at his price. Replacement is the median of the best playing players at or below the floor price for the position; per million is PAR over the price above that floor. Every player by PAR.

Price and ownership

Ownership by rank

Sample	Selected by	EO
Top 10k	0.0%	0.0%
Top 100k	0.3%	0.3%

GW5 estimates · 300 managers per cohort · Updated 3 Oct, 06:09 UTC

A daily sample spread across 20 rank bands in each cohort, using FPL's Overall standings at collection time (including its tie order). These are estimates, so small percentage differences can be sampling noise. Ownership counts all 15 players in the published GW5 squad, including the bench; transfers since the deadline are private. EO (effective ownership) uses FPL's scoring multipliers: captains count twice, triple captains three times, and only scoring players count. EO includes FPL’s finalized substitutions.

Daily since 9 Aug: blue is price, grey is ownership, dots are the days the price moved.

This gameweek

no change

price so far

Transfers in

38K

9K out

Ownership, 7 days

+0.1

percentage points

Towards a change

55%

rising

Tonight

55%

FPL's projection, rising

Tonight's likely price changes

Set pieces

Penalties2nd choice
Club order: Buendía, N.Jackson
Corners and indirect free kicksnot a taker
Club order: McGinn, Buendía, Cash
Direct free kicksnot a taker
Club order: Buendía

Also at Aston Villa

MIDBuendía
£5.9m21 pts
MIDMcGinn
£5.4m17 pts
GKPSuzuki
£5.0m16 pts
MIDKamara
£5.0m15 pts
MIDManzambi
£5.9m14 pts
MIDBarkley
£5.0m10 pts

Every Aston Villa player

From the analytics feed

Differential: ultra differential, score 60
Why: Elite xGI. Gaining momentum. Very low owned.
Form trajectory: accelerating fast
Bonus: average bps

Go deeper

Compare: this player against up to three others
Player tables: every player, sortable
xPoints: this week's projections and the optimiser
Fixture Planner: the next seven gameweeks for every club
Accuracy: how the projections are graded

FPL data as of 3 Oct. Pages refresh about every 15 minutes.