Players/Brentford/Forward

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues

ThiagoFWDBrentford25 years oldat the club since 2024

Available

Next: Aston Villa away, Sat 10 Oct, 15:003

2026/27 season. Owned by 9.1% of managers (1,002,119). Transfers this gameweek: +21751.

Top 10k: 1.7% · Top 100k: 0.7% GW5 estimates

Compare

Price: £7.8m; -0.2m since season start
Points: 10; 2.0 per game
Form: 2.7; points per game, last 30 days
Minutes: 442; 5 starts
xGI: 3.29; 0.67 per 90
Bonus: 0; 37 BPS
xMins next: 81; 92% to start, 93% for 60+
xPoints next: 2.7; FPL's official expected points, GW6

Availability

no news

Available

No news. Fit and available.

No availability changes recorded this season.

Profile against other forwards

per 90 minutes, this season

Points per 90
72.04
xGI per 90
790.67
xG per 90
760.64
xA per 90
450.03
Threat per 90
5029.7
Bonus per 90
190.00
Start rate
71100%

Percentile among 21 forwards with at least 225 minutes this season. 100 is the best.

2026/27 gameweek by gameweek

5 appearances, 10 points

Bars are points, the line is expected goal involvements.

GW	Opponent	Result	Min	Pts	G	BPS	xG	xA	xGI	Price
1	TOT H	W 3-0	82	0	0	-3	1.00	0.08	1.08	8.0
2	LEE A	D 1-1	90	2	0	2	0.80	0.01	0.81	8.0
3	SUN H	D 1-1	90	2	0	9	0.50	0.01	0.51	8.0
4	BOU A	D 2-2	90	1	0	3	0.11	0.03	0.14	7.9
5	CHE H	W 3-0	90	5	1	26	0.72	0.03	0.75	7.8
Season			442	10	1	37	3.13	0.16	3.29

Where the points came from

10 points

Appearances71%+10
Goals29%+4
Penalties-2
Cards-2

The categories add up to FPL's total of 10.

Form, minutes and splits

Expected minutes, Gameweek 6Nailed

xMins: 81; one fixture
Starts: 92%; 88 minutes when he does
Plays 60+: 93%; the xPoints threshold
Appears: 95%; fit, as far as FPL knows

GW1

GW2

GW3

GW4

GW5

Thiago started 5 of the last 5 gameweeks (90, 90, 90 minutes most recently). The chance of sixty minutes blends the site's own estimate (91%) with the xPoints model's (95%). Recent weeks count most; a solid bar is a start, a pale one is minutes from the bench.

Last 5 average

2.0

season 2.0, 0.0

Returns

20%

1 of 5 games with 5+

Hauls

0 with 10+

Blanks

80%

4 with 2 or fewer

Last five

TOT H

LEE A

SUN H

BOU A

CHE H

Fixture-adjusted form, last 5 gameweeksFaced average opponents

Adjusted: 1.9; points per gameweek
Raw: 2.0; -0.1 adjusted against raw
Opponents: 1.01x; their defence, 1.00 is average

GW1TOT H · defence 12th0 ×1.00 0.0
GW2LEE A · defence 1st2 ×1.11 2.0
GW3SUN H · defence 16th2 ×0.94 2.0
GW4BOU A · defence 11th1 ×1.06 0.9
GW5CHE H · defence 20th5 ×0.93 4.8

About what it looks: the opponents were close to average. Points above the appearance points are scaled by the opponent's defence (expected goals conceded per game from the analytics table), shrunk toward the league average early in the season and capped between 0.6 and 1.5.

Starts

5 of 5

100% start rate

Minutes per start

4 full games

60+ minutes

100%

of team games

From the bench

0 unused

Home3 games

Points: 7
Per game: 2.3
xGI per game: 0.78

Away2 games

Points: 3
Per game: 1.5
xGI per game: 0.48

Momentum: risingRotation: nailed

Expected against actual

Due a returnAnalytics feed: expected

Stat	Actual	Expected	Difference
Goals	1	3.13	-2.13
Assists	0	0.16	-0.16
Goal involvements	1	3.29	-2.29

Expected numbers are FPL's own xG, xA and xGC, summed over the gameweeks played. A big positive difference tends to fall back; a big negative one tends to catch up.

xPoints record

frozen at each deadline, graded after

Next gameweek (GW6): 2.7 expected points, FPL's official expected points, GW6.

GW	Projected	Actual	Difference
1	2.5	0	-2.5
2	2.5	2	-0.5
3	1.0	2	+1.0
4	1.3	1	-0.3
5	1.2	5	+3.8

Average miss 1.62 points over 5 graded gameweeks, under-projected on average by 0.30. How the feed is graded.

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Nearest by per-90 profile and price among players in the same position with enough minutes. Not a recommendation, a comparison.

Previous seasons

Season	Pts	Per 90	Min	G	A	xGI	Bonus	Price
2025/26	181	4.96	3282	22	1	22.4	22	6.0 to 7.2
2024/25	9	4.85	167	0	0	0.2	0	6.0 to 5.9

Your team

Checking your squad.

Fixtures ahead

GW6
Aston Villa A
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 · defence 15th of 20
3
GW7
Liverpool H
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 · defence 4th of 20
4
GW8
Hull City A
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 · defence 6th of 20
2
GW9
Nott'm Forest H
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 · defence 9th of 20
3
GW10
Brighton A
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 · defence 7th of 20
4
GW11
Everton H
Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 · defence 2nd of 20
3
GW12
Man Utd A
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 · defence 10th of 20
4
GW13
Arsenal H
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 · defence 3rd of 20
4

Average difficulty over the next five: 3.2. 1 is easiest, 5 hardest, by FPL's rating. The rank is the opponent's attack or defence among the 20 clubs by expected goals this season, 1 being the strongest.

Value over replacement

points above the cheap option

Not worth the premium12th of 79 forwards by PAR

Per gameweek: 3.0; projected, next 5
Replacement: 3.3; best cheap forwards
PAR: -0.3; over the replacement
Per £m: -0.17; 1.8m above the floor

-0.1 against players at his price. Replacement is the median of the best playing players at or below the floor price for the position; per million is PAR over the price above that floor. Every player by PAR.

Price and ownership

Ownership by rank

Sample	Selected by	EO
Top 10k	1.7%	1.3%
Top 100k	0.7%	0.7%

GW5 estimates · 300 managers per cohort · Updated 3 Oct, 06:09 UTC

A daily sample spread across 20 rank bands in each cohort, using FPL's Overall standings at collection time (including its tie order). These are estimates, so small percentage differences can be sampling noise. Ownership counts all 15 players in the published GW5 squad, including the bench; transfers since the deadline are private. EO (effective ownership) uses FPL's scoring multipliers: captains count twice, triple captains three times, and only scoring players count. EO includes FPL’s finalized substitutions.

Daily since 9 Aug: blue is price, grey is ownership, dots are the days the price moved (2 so far).

This gameweek

no change

price so far

Transfers in

61K

40K out

Ownership, 7 days

+0.1

percentage points

Towards a change

12%

rising

Tonight

12%

FPL's projection, rising

Tonight's likely price changes

Set pieces

Penalties1st choice
Club order: Thiago, Schade, Jensen
Corners and indirect free kicksnot a taker
Club order: Jensen, Damsgaard, Janelt
Direct free kicksnot a taker
Club order: Lewis-Potter, Jensen, Damsgaard

Also at Brentford

MIDSchade
£6.2m39 pts
MIDJanelt
£5.0m28 pts
DEFKayode
£4.6m23 pts
MIDM.Sangaré
£5.6m22 pts
MIDLewis-Potter
£5.5m22 pts
DEFAjer
£4.5m21 pts

Every Brentford player

From the analytics feed

Differential: strong differential, score 63
Why: Elite xGI. On penalties. Gaining momentum. Low owned.
Value: undervalued
Trend: rising
Form trajectory: accelerating fast
Bonus: low bps
Form: cool

Go deeper

Compare: this player against up to three others
Player tables: every player, sortable
xPoints: this week's projections and the optimiser
Fixture Planner: the next seven gameweeks for every club
Accuracy: how the projections are graded

FPL data as of 3 Oct. Pages refresh about every 15 minutes.