Players/Nott'm Forest/Defender

Murillo Costa dos Santos

MurilloDEFNott'm Forest24 years oldat the club since 2023

Available

Next: Crystal Palace away, Sun 11 Oct, 14:003

2026/27 season. Owned by 2.1% of managers (231,258). Transfers this gameweek: +407.

Top 10k: 1.3% · Top 100k: 1.0% GW5 estimates

Compare

Price: £5.5m; unchanged this season
Points: 23; 4.6 per game
Form: 6.0; points per game, last 30 days
Minutes: 449; 5 starts
xGI: 0.79; 0.15 per 90
Bonus: 0; 76 BPS
xMins next: 83; 92% to start, 89% for 60+
xPoints next: 6.0; FPL's official expected points, GW6

Availability

FPL updated 23 Jul

AvailableFPL updated 23 Jul

No news. Fit and available.

No availability changes recorded this season.

Profile against other defenders

per 90 minutes, this season

Points per 90
654.61
Clean sheets per 90
320.20
xGC per 90 (lower is better)
900.96
xGI per 90
660.15
Defensive contributions per 90
8410.6
Bonus per 90
290.00
Threat per 90
465.4
Start rate
74100%

Percentile among 85 defenders with at least 225 minutes this season. 100 is the best.

2026/27 gameweek by gameweek

5 appearances, 23 points

Bars are points, the line is expected goal involvements.

GW	Opponent	Result	Min	Pts	A	CS	BPS	xG	xA	xGI	xGC	Price
1	LEE H	L 0-1	90	4	0	0	15	0.00	0.28	0.28	0.47	5.5
2	LIV A	D 2-2	90	1	0	0	2	0.18	0.00	0.18	1.75	5.5
3	TOT H	D 0-0	89	8	0	1	25	0.17	0.00	0.17	1.06	5.5
4	AVL A	W 2-1	90	6	1	0	18	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.82	5.5
5	COV H	L 0-1	90	4	0	0	16	0.07	0.08	0.15	0.67	5.5
Season			449	23	1	1	76	0.42	0.37	0.79	4.77

Where the points came from

23 points

Appearances40%+10
Assists12%+3
Clean sheets16%+4
Defensive contributions32%+8
Goals conceded-1
Cards-1

The categories add up to FPL's total of 23.

Form, minutes and splits

Expected minutes, Gameweek 6Nailed

xMins: 83; one fixture
Starts: 92%; 90 minutes when he does
Plays 60+: 89%; the xPoints threshold
Appears: 95%; fit, as far as FPL knows

GW1

GW2

GW3

GW4

GW5

Murillo started 5 of the last 5 gameweeks (90, 90, 89 minutes most recently). The chance of sixty minutes blends the site's own estimate (91%) with the xPoints model's (86%). Recent weeks count most; a solid bar is a start, a pale one is minutes from the bench.

Last 5 average

4.6

season 4.6, 0.0

Returns

40%

2 of 5 games with 5+

Hauls

0 with 10+

Blanks

20%

1 with 2 or fewer

Last five

LEE H

LIV A

TOT H

AVL A

COV H

Fixture-adjusted form, last 5 gameweeksFaced weak opponents

Adjusted: 4.1; points per gameweek
Raw: 4.6; -0.5 adjusted against raw
Opponents: 0.89x; their attack, 1.00 is average

GW1LEE H · attack 11th4 ×1.02 4.0
GW2LIV A · attack 8th1 ×1.05 0.9
GW3TOT H · attack 19th8 ×0.81 6.9
GW4AVL A · attack 18th6 ×0.78 5.1
GW5COV H · attack 20th4 ×0.80 3.6

About what it looks: the opponents were close to average. Points above the appearance points are scaled by the opponent's attack (expected goals for per game from the analytics table), shrunk toward the league average early in the season and capped between 0.6 and 1.5.

Starts

5 of 5

100% start rate

Minutes per start

4 full games

60+ minutes

100%

of team games

From the bench

0 unused

Home3 games

Points: 16
Per game: 5.3
xGI per game: 0.20

Away2 games

Points: 7
Per game: 3.5
xGI per game: 0.10

Consistency: consistent

Expected against actual

On track

Stat	Actual	Expected	Difference
Goals	0	0.42	-0.42
Assists	1	0.37	+0.63
Goal involvements	1	0.79	+0.21
Goals conceded	5	4.77	+0.23

Expected numbers are FPL's own xG, xA and xGC, summed over the gameweeks played. A big positive difference tends to fall back; a big negative one tends to catch up.

xPoints record

frozen at each deadline, graded after

Next gameweek (GW6): 6.0 expected points, FPL's official expected points, GW6.

GW	Projected	Actual	Difference
1	2.5	4	+1.5
2	2.5	1	-1.5
3	2.5	8	+5.5
4	4.3	6	+1.7
5	4.8	4	-0.8

Average miss 2.2 points over 5 graded gameweeks, under-projected on average by 1.28. How the feed is graded.

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Nearest by per-90 profile and price among players in the same position with enough minutes. Not a recommendation, a comparison.

Previous seasons

Season	Pts	Per 90	Min	G	A	CS	xGI	Bonus	Price
2025/26	83	3.51	2130	1	0	6	1.2	3	5.5 to 5.2
2024/25	130	3.67	3188	2	0	12	2.6	18	4.5 to 4.7
2023/24	58	1.87	2790	0	2	3	2.4	1	4.5 to 4.5

Your team

Checking your squad.

Fixtures ahead

GW6
Crystal Palace A
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 · attack 15th of 20
3
GW7
Arsenal H
Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 · attack 6th of 20
4
GW8
Ipswich Town A
Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 · attack 9th of 20
2
GW9
Brentford A
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 · attack 3rd of 20
3
GW10
Man City H
Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 · attack 2nd of 20
4
GW11
Bournemouth A
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 · attack 14th of 20
3
GW12
Chelsea H
Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 · attack 4th of 20
4
GW13
Hull City A
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 · attack 13th of 20
2

Average difficulty over the next five: 3.2. 1 is easiest, 5 hardest, by FPL's rating. The rank is the opponent's attack or defence among the 20 clubs by expected goals this season, 1 being the strongest.

Value over replacement

points above the cheap option

Fair for the money17th of 217 defenders by PAR

Per gameweek: 4.9; projected, next 5
Replacement: 4.3; best cheap defenders
PAR: +0.6; over the replacement
Per £m: 0.62; 1.0m above the floor

+1.4 against players at his price. Replacement is the median of the best playing players at or below the floor price for the position; per million is PAR over the price above that floor. Every player by PAR.

Price and ownership

Ownership by rank

Sample	Selected by	EO
Top 10k	1.3%	1.3%
Top 100k	1.0%	1.0%

GW5 estimates · 300 managers per cohort · Updated 3 Oct, 06:09 UTC

A daily sample spread across 20 rank bands in each cohort, using FPL's Overall standings at collection time (including its tie order). These are estimates, so small percentage differences can be sampling noise. Ownership counts all 15 players in the published GW5 squad, including the bench; transfers since the deadline are private. EO (effective ownership) uses FPL's scoring multipliers: captains count twice, triple captains three times, and only scoring players count. EO includes FPL’s finalized substitutions.

Daily since 9 Aug: blue is price, grey is ownership, dots are the days the price moved.

This gameweek

no change

price so far

Transfers in

8K out

Ownership, 7 days

0.0

percentage points

Towards a change

25%

rising

Tonight

25%

FPL's projection, rising

Tonight's likely price changes

Set pieces

Penaltiesnot a taker
Club order: Gibbs-White, Wood, Delap
Corners and indirect free kicksnot a taker
Club order: McAtee, N.Williams, Schlager
Direct free kicks2nd choice
Club order: Gibbs-White, Murillo, N.Williams

Also at Nott'm Forest

MIDGibbs-White
£8.0m28 pts
DEFN.Williams
£5.0m19 pts
MIDNdoye
£5.5m15 pts
GKPSels
£5.0m14 pts
MIDSchlager
£5.0m13 pts
FWDIgor Jesus
£5.8m12 pts

Every Nott'm Forest player

From the analytics feed

Trend: rising

Go deeper

Compare: this player against up to three others
Player tables: every player, sortable
xPoints: this week's projections and the optimiser
Fixture Planner: the next seven gameweeks for every club
Accuracy: how the projections are graded

FPL data as of 3 Oct. Pages refresh about every 15 minutes.