Players/Chelsea/Forward

Danny Welbeck

FWDChelsea35 years oldat the club since 2026

Available

Next: Bournemouth at home, Sat 10 Oct, 15:003

2026/27 season. Owned by 1.0% of managers (110,135). Transfers this gameweek: -1507.

Top 10k: 0.0% · Top 100k: 0.0% GW5 estimates

Compare

Price: £5.9m; -0.1m since season start
Points: 4; 1.3 per game
Form: 1.3; points per game, last 30 days
Minutes: 85; 1 starts
xGI: 0.14; 0.15 per 90
Bonus: 0; 15 BPS
xMins next: 30; 35% to start, 47% for 60+
xPoints next: 1.3; FPL's official expected points, GW6

Availability

FPL updated 20 Aug

AvailableFPL updated 20 Aug

No news. Fit and available.

20 AugDoubt cleared
Doubt cleared, available again.
20 AugDoubt
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Profile against other forwards

per 90 minutes, this season

Points per 90
624.24
xGI per 90
70.15
xG per 90
00.00
xA per 90
950.15
Threat per 90
014.8
Bonus per 90
190.00
Start rate
020%

Percentile among 21 forwards with at least 225 minutes this season. 100 is the best. This player is below that minutes threshold, so his own numbers rest on a small sample.

2026/27 gameweek by gameweek

3 appearances, 4 points

Bars are points, the line is expected goal involvements.

GW	Opponent	Result	Min	Pts	BPS	xA	xGI	Price
1	FUL A	W 3-2	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6.0
2	BHA H	W 4-3	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	6.0
3	ARS A	L 1-2	3	1	3	0.00	0.00	5.9
4	HUL H	D 2-2	12	1	4	0.06	0.06	5.9
5	BRE A	L 0-3	70	2	8	0.08	0.08	5.9
Season			85	4	15	0.14	0.14

Where the points came from

4 points

Appearances100%+4

The categories add up to FPL's total of 4.

Form, minutes and splits

Expected minutes, Gameweek 6Bench

xMins: 30; one fixture
Starts: 35%; 73 minutes when he does
Plays 60+: 47%; the xPoints threshold
Appears: 73%; fit, as far as FPL knows

GW1

GW2

GW3

GW4

GW5

Welbeck started 1 of the last 5 gameweeks (70, 12, 3 minutes most recently). The chance of sixty minutes blends the site's own estimate (35%) with the xPoints model's (58%). Recent weeks count most; a solid bar is a start, a pale one is minutes from the bench.

Last 5 average

0.8

season 1.3, -0.5

Returns

0 of 3 games with 5+

Hauls

0 with 10+

Blanks

100%

3 with 2 or fewer

Last five

FUL A

BHA H

ARS A

HUL H

BRE A

Fixture-adjusted form, last 5 gameweeksFaced average opponents

Adjusted: 0.8; points per gameweek
Raw: 0.8; 0.0 adjusted against raw
Opponents: 1.07x; their defence, 1.00 is average

GW1FUL A · defence 13th0 ×0.91 0.0
GW2BHA H · defence 7th0 ×0.94 0.0
GW3ARS A · defence 3rd1 ×1.36 1.0
GW4HUL H · defence 6th1 ×1.03 1.0
GW5BRE A · defence 5th2 ×1.12 2.0

About what it looks: the opponents were close to average. Points above the appearance points are scaled by the opponent's defence (expected goals conceded per game from the analytics table), shrunk toward the league average early in the season and capped between 0.6 and 1.5.

Starts

1 of 5

20% start rate

Minutes per start

0 full games

60+ minutes

20%

of team games

From the bench

2 unused

Home1 game

Points: 1
Per game: 1.0
xGI per game: 0.06

Away2 games

Points: 3
Per game: 1.5
xGI per game: 0.04

Expected against actual

On track

Stat	Expected	Difference
Goals	0.00	0.00
Assists	0.14	-0.14
Goal involvements	0.14	-0.14

Expected numbers are FPL's own xG, xA and xGC, summed over the gameweeks played. A big positive difference tends to fall back; a big negative one tends to catch up.

xPoints record

frozen at each deadline, graded after

Next gameweek (GW6): 1.3 expected points, FPL's official expected points, GW6.

GW	Projected	Actual	Difference
1	1.5	0	-1.5
2	2.0	0	-2.0
3	0.0	1	+1.0
4	0.3	1	+0.7
5	0.5	2	+1.5

Average miss 1.07 points over 3 graded gameweeks, under-projected on average by 1.07. How the feed is graded.

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Nearest by per-90 profile and price among players in the same position with enough minutes. Not a recommendation, a comparison.

Previous seasons

Season	Pts	Per 90	Min	G	A	xGI	Bonus	Price
2025/26	126	5.04	2249	13	1	13.8	18	6.5 to 6.3
2024/25	125	5.33	2109	10	5	10.9	21	5.5 to 5.5
2023/24	79	4.21	1687	5	4	6.6	5	6.0 to 5.7
2022/23	91	4.44	1844	6	5	10.2	5	6.5 to 6.5
2021/22	89	5.45	1469	6	4	0.0	13	6.0 to 6.0
2020/21	89	5.20	1541	6	4	0.0	15	5.5 to 5.5
2019/20	39	4.32	813	2	1	0.0	3	6.0 to 5.8
2018/19	19	11.71	146	1	1	0.0	3	6.5 to 6.4
2017/18	70	5.35	1178	5	2	0.0	6	7.5 to 7.3
2016/17	37	4.45	748	2	2	0.0	0	7.5 to 7.3
2015/16	48	7.51	575	4	3	0.0	7	7.5 to 6.9
2014/15	89	4.69	1709	4	7	0.0	10	7.0 to 6.9
2013/14	100	6.16	1462	9	4	0.0	16	7.5 to 6.6
2012/13	57	3.94	1301	1	4	0.0	2	8.5 to 7.8
2011/12	112	5.01	2012	9	5	0.0	12	7.0 to 6.3
2010/11	79	4.05	1756	6	1	0.0	11	5.5 to 4.4
2009/10	6	3.83	141	0	0	0.0	0	6.0 to 5.9
2008/09	9	6.86	118	1	0	0.0	1	6.0 to 6.0

Your team

Checking your squad.

Fixtures ahead

GW6
Bournemouth H
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 · defence 11th of 20
3
GW7
Everton A
Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 · defence 2nd of 20
3
GW8
Spurs H
Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 · defence 12th of 20
2
GW9
Man Utd H
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 · defence 10th of 20
4
GW10
Sunderland A
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 · defence 16th of 20
3
GW11
Leeds H
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 · defence 1st of 20
3
GW12
Nott'm Forest A
Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 · defence 9th of 20
3
GW13
Crystal Palace H
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 · defence 19th of 20
2

Average difficulty over the next five: 3. 1 is easiest, 5 hardest, by FPL's rating. The rank is the opponent's attack or defence among the 20 clubs by expected goals this season, 1 being the strongest.

Value over replacement

points above the cheap option

Not expected to play28th of 79 forwards by PAR

Per gameweek: 1.3; projected, next 5
Replacement: 3.3; best cheap forwards
PAR: -2.1; over the replacement
Per £m: floor; at or below the floor price

-1.9 against players at his price. Replacement is the median of the best playing players at or below the floor price for the position; per million is PAR over the price above that floor. Every player by PAR.

Price and ownership

Ownership by rank

Sample	Selected by	EO
Top 10k	0.0%	0.0%
Top 100k	0.0%	0.0%

GW5 estimates · 300 managers per cohort · Updated 3 Oct, 06:09 UTC

A daily sample spread across 20 rank bands in each cohort, using FPL's Overall standings at collection time (including its tie order). These are estimates, so small percentage differences can be sampling noise. Ownership counts all 15 players in the published GW5 squad, including the bench; transfers since the deadline are private. EO (effective ownership) uses FPL's scoring multipliers: captains count twice, triple captains three times, and only scoring players count. EO includes FPL’s finalized substitutions.

Daily since 9 Aug: blue is price, grey is ownership, dots are the days the price moved (1 so far).

This gameweek

no change

price so far

Transfers in

10K out

Ownership, 7 days

0.0

percentage points

Towards a change

rising

Tonight

FPL's projection, rising

Tonight's likely price changes

Set pieces

Penaltiesnot a taker
Club order: Palmer, Estêvão
Corners and indirect free kicksnot a taker
Club order: James, Neto, Henderson
Direct free kicksnot a taker
Club order: James, Palmer, Rogers

Also at Chelsea

FWDJoão Pedro
£7.7m33 pts
MIDRogers
£7.7m29 pts
MIDPalmer
£9.7m28 pts
MIDNeto
£6.5m14 pts
DEFLacroix
£5.9m13 pts
MIDLavia
£5.0m11 pts

Every Chelsea player

From the analytics feed

The analytics feed has no extra tags for this player yet. Most of its tables start after Gameweek 3.

Go deeper

Compare: this player against up to three others
Player tables: every player, sortable
xPoints: this week's projections and the optimiser
Fixture Planner: the next seven gameweeks for every club
Accuracy: how the projections are graded

FPL data as of 3 Oct. Pages refresh about every 15 minutes.