Players/Coventry City/Forward

Ellis Simms

FWDCoventry City25 years oldat the club since 2023

Available

Next: Newcastle at home, Mon 12 Oct, 20:003

2026/27 season. Owned by 0.6% of managers (66,077). Transfers this gameweek: -3366.

Top 10k: 1.0% · Top 100k: 0.7% GW5 estimates

Compare

Price: £4.9m; -0.1m since season start
Points: 4; 1.3 per game
Form: 0.7; points per game, last 30 days
Minutes: 104; 1 starts
xGI: 0.31; 0.27 per 90
Bonus: 0; 13 BPS
xMins next: 20; 16% to start, 15% for 60+
xPoints next: 0.7; FPL's official expected points, GW6

Availability

no news

Available

No news. Fit and available.

No availability changes recorded this season.

Profile against other forwards

per 90 minutes, this season

Points per 90
383.46
xGI per 90
140.27
xG per 90
290.26
xA per 90
20.01
Threat per 90
6232.0
Bonus per 90
190.00
Start rate
020%

Percentile among 21 forwards with at least 225 minutes this season. 100 is the best. This player is below that minutes threshold, so his own numbers rest on a small sample.

2026/27 gameweek by gameweek

3 appearances, 4 points

Bars are points, the line is expected goal involvements.

GW	Opponent	Result	Min	Pts	BPS	xG	xA	xGI	Price
1	ARS A	L 0-3	69	2	7	0.00	0.01	0.01	5.0
2	HUL H	L 0-1	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.0
3	MCI A	L 0-1	19	1	3	0.30	0.00	0.30	5.0
4	BHA H	L 0-5	0	0	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.0
5	NFO A	W 1-0	16	1	3	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.0
Season			104	4	13	0.30	0.01	0.31

Where the points came from

4 points

Appearances100%+4

The categories add up to FPL's total of 4.

Form, minutes and splits

Expected minutes, Gameweek 6Bench

xMins: 20; one fixture
Starts: 16%; 76 minutes when he does
Plays 60+: 15%; the xPoints threshold
Appears: 60%; fit, as far as FPL knows

GW1

GW2

GW3

GW4

GW5

Simms started 1 of the last 5 gameweeks (16, 0, 19 minutes most recently). The chance of sixty minutes blends the site's own estimate (16%) with the xPoints model's (13%). Recent weeks count most; a solid bar is a start, a pale one is minutes from the bench.

Last 5 average

0.8

season 1.3, -0.5

Returns

0 of 3 games with 5+

Hauls

0 with 10+

Blanks

100%

3 with 2 or fewer

Last five

ARS A

HUL H

MCI A

BHA H

NFO A

Fixture-adjusted form, last 5 gameweeksFaced average opponents

Adjusted: 0.8; points per gameweek
Raw: 0.8; 0.0 adjusted against raw
Opponents: 1.08x; their defence, 1.00 is average

GW1ARS A · defence 3rd2 ×1.36 2.0
GW2HUL H · defence 6th0 ×1.03 0.0
GW3MCI A · defence 8th1 ×0.86 1.0
GW4BHA H · defence 7th0 ×0.94 0.0
GW5NFO A · defence 9th1 ×1.23 1.0

About what it looks: the opponents were close to average. Points above the appearance points are scaled by the opponent's defence (expected goals conceded per game from the analytics table), shrunk toward the league average early in the season and capped between 0.6 and 1.5.

Starts

1 of 5

20% start rate

Minutes per start

0 full games

60+ minutes

20%

of team games

From the bench

2 unused

Home0 games

Points: 0
Per game: 0.0
xGI per game: 0.00

Away3 games

Points: 4
Per game: 1.3
xGI per game: 0.10

Expected against actual

On track

Stat	Expected	Difference
Goals	0.30	-0.30
Assists	0.01	-0.01
Goal involvements	0.31	-0.31

Expected numbers are FPL's own xG, xA and xGC, summed over the gameweeks played. A big positive difference tends to fall back; a big negative one tends to catch up.

xPoints record

frozen at each deadline, graded after

Next gameweek (GW6): 0.7 expected points, FPL's official expected points, GW6.

GW	Projected	Actual	Difference
1	1.4	2	+0.6
2	1.4	0	-1.4
3	1.0	1	0.0
4	1.0	0	-1.0
5	0.8	1	+0.2

Average miss 0.27 points over 3 graded gameweeks, under-projected on average by 0.27. How the feed is graded.

Similar players

FWDMcBurnieHUL
£5.5m13 pts0.28 xGICompare
FWDThomas-AsanteCOV
£5.0m9 pts0.15 xGICompare
FWDIgor JesusNFO
£5.8m12 pts0.47 xGICompare
FWDAwoniyiCOV
£5.4m3 pts0.52 xGICompare
FWDWissaNEW
£6.2m15 pts0.49 xGICompare

Nearest by per-90 profile and price among players in the same position with enough minutes. Not a recommendation, a comparison.

Previous seasons

Season	Pts	Per 90	Min	G	xGI	Price
2023/24	0	0.00	0	0	0.0	4.5 to 4.5
2022/23	17	6.99	219	1	1.0	4.5 to 4.5
2021/22	2	2.95	61	0	0.0	4.5 to 4.5
2020/21	0	0.00	0	0	0.0	4.5 to 4.5
2019/20	0	0.00	0	0	0.0	4.5 to 4.5

Your team

Checking your squad.

Fixtures ahead

GW6
Newcastle H
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 · defence 14th of 20
3
GW7
Spurs A
Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 · defence 12th of 20
3
GW8
Fulham H
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 · defence 13th of 20
2
GW9
Sunderland H
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 · defence 16th of 20
3
GW10
Everton A
Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 · defence 2nd of 20
3
GW11
Crystal Palace H
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 · defence 19th of 20
2
GW12
Leeds A
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 · defence 1st of 20
3
GW13
Ipswich Town H
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 · defence 18th of 20
2

Average difficulty over the next five: 2.8. 1 is easiest, 5 hardest, by FPL's rating. The rank is the opponent's attack or defence among the 20 clubs by expected goals this season, 1 being the strongest.

Value over replacement

points above the cheap option

Not expected to play34th of 79 forwards by PAR

Per gameweek: 0.7; projected, next 5
Replacement: 3.3; best cheap forwards
PAR: -2.7; over the replacement
Per £m: floor; at or below the floor price

-2.7 against players at his price. Replacement is the median of the best playing players at or below the floor price for the position; per million is PAR over the price above that floor. Every player by PAR.

Price and ownership

Ownership by rank

Sample	Selected by	EO
Top 10k	1.0%	0.0%
Top 100k	0.7%	0.0%

GW5 estimates · 300 managers per cohort · Updated 3 Oct, 06:09 UTC

A daily sample spread across 20 rank bands in each cohort, using FPL's Overall standings at collection time (including its tie order). These are estimates, so small percentage differences can be sampling noise. Ownership counts all 15 players in the published GW5 squad, including the bench; transfers since the deadline are private. EO (effective ownership) uses FPL's scoring multipliers: captains count twice, triple captains three times, and only scoring players count. EO includes FPL’s finalized substitutions.

Daily since 9 Aug: blue is price, grey is ownership, dots are the days the price moved (1 so far).

This gameweek

-0.1m

price so far

Transfers in

5K out

Ownership, 7 days

0.0

percentage points

Towards a change

rising

Tonight

FPL's projection, no move

Tonight's likely price changes

Set pieces

Penaltiesnot a taker
Club order: Wright, Torp, Grimes
Corners and indirect free kicksnot a taker
Club order: Grimes, Torp, Tchaouna
Direct free kicksnot a taker
Club order: Rudoni, Torp

Also at Coventry City

DEFThomas
£4.0m24 pts
DEFDasilva
£4.0m20 pts
GKPRushworth
£4.5m16 pts
DEFPinnock
£4.5m14 pts
MIDRudoni
£4.9m13 pts
MIDGrimes
£4.9m11 pts

Every Coventry City player

From the analytics feed

The analytics feed has no extra tags for this player yet. Most of its tables start after Gameweek 3.

Go deeper

Compare: this player against up to three others
Player tables: every player, sortable
xPoints: this week's projections and the optimiser
Fixture Planner: the next seven gameweeks for every club
Accuracy: how the projections are graded

FPL data as of 3 Oct. Pages refresh about every 15 minutes.